By De Cicco V., Fusco N., Verde A.
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Extra info for A chain rule formula in BV and application to lower semicontinuity
Role playing is useful for predicting in situations involving large changes. Experts have difficulty predicting decisions when there are large changes or unusual events, because the changes are outside their experience. Given its greater realism, role playing’s accuracy should be superior to the expert’s judgment in such cases. EVIDENCE ON THE VALUE OF ROLE PLAYING To find published evidence on role playing, I examined the Social Science Citation Index from 1978 through early 2000. ” I also contacted researchers who had done related work.
Juster (1966) measured respondents’ intentions to purchase an automobile using both his new purchase probability scale (#5) and a likelihood-of-purchase scale. The two measures were taken several days apart. Specifically, 395 households were asked their intentions to purchase (using a likelihood-of-purchase scale with response categories: Definite, Probable, Maybe, Don’t Know, No) and several days later were asked their probability of purchase (#5). 576), the distribution of responses differed substantially.
Cooney & D. A. Busher (1992), “Relationship between role-play measures of coping skills and alcohol treatment outcome,” Addictive Behavior, 17, 425–437. 30 PRINCIPLES OF FORECASTING Kerr, N. , D. R. Nerenz & D. Herrick (1979), “Role playing and the study of jury behavior,” Sociological Methods and Research, 7, 337–355. Kipper, D. A. & D. Har-Even (1984), “Role-playing techniques: The differential effect of behavior simulation interventions on the readiness to inflict pain,” Journal of Clinical Psychology, 40, 936–941.
A chain rule formula in BV and application to lower semicontinuity by De Cicco V., Fusco N., Verde A.